Cosmic rays, global warming, bubbles and droughts

Reading time: 935 words, 2 to 4 minutes plus a 300 year list of sunspots
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Bailout while you can

Reading time: 467 words, 1 to 2 minutes

Originally sent as an email to family and friends April 14, 2010

I was made aware of an article warning of global food shortages after I emailed you my latest doom and gloom missive. It was already overlong as it is. Good news – yes, there still is such a thing 😉 We in North America won’t starve just yet. Bad news, a lot of other people on earth however, are at risk.

We human beans (as Chief Dan George called us) have a propensity to connect wildly disparate things i.e. see the big picture. Here are a couple of dots that might connect although I admit this is purely conjectural.

A new solar cycle began late in 2007. Solar cycles typically run 9 to 14 years and average about 11 years. Sun spots are regions of intense magnetic activity on the sun’s surface with a reduced temperature causing dark spots that can be seen from earth without a telescope (never look directly at the sun). Below is a list of sunspots by year going back to 1700.

Since the beginning of this solar cycle, there were only two brief sunspots since the beginning of last year. Minimal sunspot activity means colder than normal weather. We are experiencing an unusual small number of sunspots. Maximum is 190 in 1957. Don Coxe, one of the Global Portfolio Strategists I follow, was reporting this since last summer. It turned out to be an accurate forecast.

On another matter, about 10 years ago, Danish scientists reported that varying amounts of cosmic rays affect global warming (something Al Gore doesn’t want to hear about.) As our solar system revolves around the galaxy we receive varying amounts of cosmic rays (high speed atomic particles) from exploding stars at the galactic core. As these cosmic rays penetrate our atmosphere, they produce ions and these free electrons become building blocks for cloud condensation nuclei on which water vapor condenses to make clouds. Long story short, high cosmic ray activity produces more clouds which reflect solar heat thereby decreasing global temperatures. Conversely, low cosmic activity produces fewer clouds and increased temperature.

Here’s where it gets conjectural. Perhaps these same cosmic rays affect sun spot activity on the sun. In other words cosmic rays are the cause which affects sunspots and the earth’s weather.

Here’s where it gets really conjectural. Since our brains operate on tiny electrical impulses, perhaps varying amounts of cosmic rays affect the way we think causing what Alan Greenspan called “irrational exuberance” which leads us to create market bubbles. It is an established fact that bursting bubbles cause recessions and depressions (Q: how do you prevent a depression? A: prevent a bubble.) Think this is far fetched? Consider these bubbles which peaked at the beginning of almost every century. Now look at the sunspot chart below and you’ll see extremely low sunspots at the beginning of every century.

– Dutch Tulip Bubble 1593 to 1634 (the middle of which is 1613)
– South Sea Bubble 1711 prompted the 1720 Bubble Act forbidding joint-stock companies
– The Bubble Act was repealed in 1825 ushering in the Railway Bubble
– Florida Real Estate Bubble 1920
– Our recent bubbles 2007 to 2009

Now take this one step further (really, really conjectural) and tie it in to droughts i.e. the Dirty Thirties and today. I haven’t had time to research droughts beyond this but it might make for an interesting thesis for someone who has the time.

So, you heard it here first. I may be wrong in blaming governments for all our problems. They may be caused by cosmic rays. Break out the tin foil hats!

Gerold
April 14, 2010

Sunspots

Year #
1700 5
1701 11
1702 16
1703 23
1704 36
1705 58
1706 29
1707 20
1708 10
1709 8
1710 3
1711 0
1712 0
1713 2
1714 11
1715 27
1716 47
1717 63
1718 60
1719 39
1720 28
1721 26
1722 22
1723 11
1724 21
1725 40
1726 78
1727 122
1728 103
1729 73
1730 47
1731 35
1732 11
1733 5
1734 16
1735 34
1736 70
1737 81
1738 111
1739 101
1740 73
1741 40
1742 20
1743 16
1744 5
1745 11
1746 22
1747 40
1748 60
1749 80.9
1750 83.4
1751 47.7
1752 47.8
1753 30.7
1754 12.2
1755 9.6
1756 10.2
1757 32.4
1758 47.6
1759 54.0
1760 62.9
1761 85.9
1762 61.2
1763 45.1
1764 36.4
1765 20.9
1766 11.4
1767 37.8
1768 69.8
1769 106.1
1770 100.8
1771 81.6
1772 66.5
1773 34.8
1774 30.6
1775 7.0
1776 19.8
1777 92.5
1778 154.4
1779 125.9
1780 84.8
1781 68.1
1782 38.5
1783 22.8
1784 10.2
1785 24.1
1786 82.9
1787 132.0
1788 130.9
1789 118.1
1790 89.9
1791 66.6
1792 60.0
1793 46.9
1794 41.0
1795 21.3
1796 16.0
1797 6.4
1798 4.1
1799 6.8
1800 14.5
1801 34.0
1802 45.0
1803 43.1
1804 47.5
1805 42.2
1806 28.1
1807 10.1
1808 8.1
1809 2.5
1810 0.0
1811 1.4
1812 5.0
1813 12.2
1814 13.9
1815 35.4
1816 45.8
1817 41.1
1818 30.1
1819 23.9
1820 15.6
1821 6.6
1822 4.0
1823 1.8
1824 8.5
1825 16.6
1826 36.3
1827 49.6
1828 64.2
1829 67.0
1830 70.9
1831 47.8
1832 27.5
1833 8.5
1834 13.2
1835 56.9
1836 121.5
1837 138.3
1838 103.2
1839 85.7
1840 64.6
1841 36.7
1842 24.2
1843 10.7
1844 15.0
1845 40.1
1846 61.5
1847 98.5
1848 124.7
1849 96.3
1850 66.6
1851 64.5
1852 54.1
1853 39.0
1854 20.6
1855 6.7
1856 4.3
1857 22.7
1858 54.8
1859 93.8
1860 95.8
1861 77.2
1862 59.1
1863 44.0
1864 47.0
1865 30.5
1866 16.3
1867 7.3
1868 37.6
1869 74.0
1870 139.0
1871 111.2
1872 101.6
1873 66.2
1874 44.7
1875 17.0
1876 11.3
1877 12.4
1878 3.4
1879 6.0
1880 32.3
1881 54.3
1882 59.7
1883 63.7
1884 63.5
1885 52.2
1886 25.4
1887 13.1
1888 6.8
1889 6.3
1890 7.1
1891 35.6
1892 73.0
1893 85.1
1894 78.0
1895 64.0
1896 41.8
1897 26.2
1898 26.7
1899 12.1
1900 9.5
1901 2.7
1902 5.0
1903 24.4
1904 42.0
1905 63.5
1906 53.8
1907 62.0
1908 48.5
1909 43.9
1910 18.6
1911 5.7
1912 3.6
1913 1.4
1914 9.6
1915 47.4
1916 57.1
1917 103.9
1918 80.6
1919 63.6
1920 37.6
1921 26.1
1922 14.2
1923 5.8
1924 16.7
1925 44.3
1926 63.9
1927 69.0
1928 77.8
1929 64.9
1930 35.7
1931 21.2
1932 11.1
1933 5.7
1934 8.7
1935 36.1
1936 79.7
1937 114.4
1938 109.6
1939 88.8
1940 67.8
1941 47.5
1942 30.6
1943 16.3
1944 9.6
1945 33.2
1946 92.6
1947 151.6
1948 136.3
1949 134.7
1950 83.9
1951 69.4
1952 31.5
1953 13.9
1954 4.4
1955 38.0
1956 141.7
1957 190.2
1958 184.8
1959 159.0
1960 112.3
1961 53.9
1962 37.6
1963 27.9
1964 10.2
1965 15.1
1966 47.0
1967 93.8
1968 105.9
1969 105.5
1970 104.5
1971 66.6
1972 68.9
1973 38.0
1974 34.5
1975 15.5
1976 12.6
1977 27.5
1978 92.5
1979 155.4
1980 154.6
1981 140.4
1982 115.9
1983 66.6
1984 45.9
1985 17.9
1986 13.4
1987 29.4
1988 100.2
1989 157.6
1990 142.6
1991 145.7
1992 94.3
1993 54.6
1994 29.9
1995 17.5
1996 8.6
1997 21.5
1998 64.3
1999 93.3
2000 119.6
2001 111.0
2002 104.0
2003 63.7
2004 40.4
2005 29.8
2006 15.2
2007 7.5

About gerold

I have a bit of financial experience having invested in stocks in the 1960s & 70s, commodities in the 80s & commercial real estate in the 90s (I sold in 2005.) I am appalled at our rapidly deteriorating global condition so I've written articles for family, friends & colleagues since 2007; warning them and doing my best to explain what's happening, what we can expect in the future and what you can do to prepare and mitigate the worst of the economic, social, political and nuclear fallout. As a public service in 2010 I decided to create a blog accessible to a larger number of people because I believe that knowledge not shared is wasted.
This entry was posted in Collapse 2009, Economic Collapse and tagged , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

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